China and the United States have a long history of trade in the tilapia market. The 55% tariff caused a sharp drop in orders between the two countries in the first half of 2025, less than 3/1 of the previous year. The decision to suspend higher tariffs in June prompted the United States to import large quantities of inventory, with huge orders.
Since then, orders have weakened, leaving US importers facing high inventory, high costs, and low turnover. News reports indicate that Trump's tariffs will expire in October, and that China and the US will resume talks on the tariff issue in Spain in September. Consequently, the US-China tilapia trade faces three developments:
1）. There are still five years left in Trump's term, and for various reasons, the 55% tariff will be raised again.
2）.For various reasons, the two countries maintain a 55% tariff.
3）.Trump's tariffs expire in October
Obviously, October 14th is a crucial date, as it will determine whether the tariff will remain at 55% or return to 10%. However, since the 55% rate is already known, should importers import at this time?
Why not? Now is the perfect time. Trump's term will last for another five years, the 55% tariff has been stable for five months, and October 14th is just around the corner. When placing an order, we only need to consider two things:
1）. The 55% tariff has been in place for five months. Trump will not end the tariff war easily, and subsequent tariffs may be higher. In this case, the 55% tariff is at a low level.
2）.If you place an order now and the goods are shipped to the United States in October, if the Tran Valley tariff expires on October 14 as reported in the news, then the goods will only have to pay the original tariff of 10%.
The tariff war is a protracted one, and it won't end soon. Smart businesspeople understand this: opportunities and risks coexist.
The above is the development trend of Sino-US tilapia trade. Business owners are advised to adapt to tariff policies as soon as possible and make appropriate business arrangements.
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